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BJP opposition in Bengal could eventually become a much bigger political battle than the BJP-vs-TMC contest itself

BJP Opposition in Bengal: TMC vs CPM Battle

10 Key Takeaways

For now, there is little doubt about the numbers: the TMC remains the main opposition to the BJP with 80 Assembly seats. The bigger question is whether it can remain united.
The opposition battle is no longer only about Assembly arithmetic. It is about who can actually occupy the political space left behind by a weakening rival.
The TMC's rebel MPs have added a new layer to an already messy factional fight. The party's leadership, identity and parliamentary strength are all under pressure.
Congress still matters nationally. Bengal, however, is a different story. Two Assembly seats tell us how far the party has fallen here.
One MLA does not make the CPI(M) a serious opposition force today. Still, the Left retains cadres, an ideological identity and some visibility on the streets and campuses.
Meenakshi Mukherjee, Shatarup Ghosh, Srijan Bhattacharya and Ishita Mukherjee represent a younger Left that is trying to move beyond the old leadership.
If the TMC continues to lose ground, the BJP will not be the only party watching. The Left will want that space too.
Bengal has done this before. The BJP itself rose by occupying political space that the Left and Congress gradually surrendered after 2016.
The TMC has 80 seats today. That is a formidable number, but 80 seats do not guarantee permanent political relevance.
Who becomes the next major BJP opposition in Bengal is still an open question. TMC, Congress, CPI(M) or even a new political combination could eventually surprise the state.

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